Yes, a scheme is needed. But what should it be based on? First, we need to understand the root of the problem. If we ignore ballistics (and I certainly don't), then we need to somehow increase the guessing frequency. This doesn't mean reducing the number of spins until numbers are repeated. The main thing is that these numbers of spins cluster around some value, no matter what. There shouldn't be a spread, such as when a number is repeated first after 20 spins, and then after 100. To reduce such a spread, you need to bet not just immediately after a hit, but calculate the optimal points from which to start.
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I don't like big words like "grail," but ways to increase the probability of a forecast (which is what's needed) may exist. But finding such a method means more than just searching in Excel; it's a refinement of probability theory. I doubt you've seriously considered this. Have you studied distances to repetitions? Have you wrestled with geometric distributions? If not, then you haven't even begun to look in the right direction. This isn't empty talk, or just showing off, or being clever, but a sad reality. That's just the way the world works: the most complex problems require very complex and unconventional approaches.
Excel is just a convenient tool for analyzing statistics. But I don't do simulations there, for example; I create programs in Java. This is to eliminate silly errors that might go unnoticed in Excel.
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At the beginning of the last century, many scientists dismissed the possibility of heavier-than-air craft. Airplanes, that is. And 200 years earlier, they probably said the same about steam locomotives. And those who didn't were left in the dark. Such is the fate of pioneers.
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You can make money, yes. But you want a lot of it, and you can't earn that much working for someone else. So you play roulette, which wastes time, meaning more money... and the prospects are dim. Perhaps it's completely hopeless, but I'm hooked, damn... like Yesenin said... I'm as lost as you, there's no turning back for me. The question is how much more. And if the regular income from the game is at least as good as what I earn at work, I'd choose the game. But not ballistics.
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A good income allows you to not think about money or count it. It's like being free. But freedom isn't just rouletted in money, it's also rouletted in how you earn it. When there's no boss or envious colleagues, no need to ask for vacation time, no need to wake up early... I make money when I want, I relax when I want, and the world is open. Something to strive for, huh?
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You know, I've taken a lot of risks in my life and embarked on all sorts of adventures, but I told myself: enough is enough. For now, I'm only playing simulations. But I feel I have the strength to break this cycle. Or rather, to overcome the obstacles that hinder my goals.
GROKKWell, yeah, not everyone understands that. Wouldn't it be easier to simulate everything that would happen with 2100 days on your computer in a couple of minutes? Why play with those little bits of candy, why waste precious time? That's you in the photo? You're not young enough to waste your time like that....
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I can easily leave a casino with a plus 100, plus 50, and plus 20. I can even leave with some kind of minus.
I, like everyone else, can lose - but I will always lose less than I can win - for the simple reason that the casino cannot win from me as much as I can.
Well, on the other hand, my line of play rejects, excludes the worst options...
You see, I have a situation where, after many years spent searching for a non-existent grail in Excel, I have lost all the basic fundamentals necessary for a real advantage in a real game.
and now I don’t see any other way for myself to get rid of my own stupidity than this kind of training on candy wrappers with spin-by-spin displacements.
It may seem like a waste of time from the outside, but I'm just too embarrassed to even tell you what I'm losing out on.
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I'm constantly losing my cool with the same situation: increasing stakes in pursuit of 2/3 and 4/6. And it's not even funny anymore...
and how many times have I promised myself not to fall for Martingale's nonsense... but I see two six lines in a row - and I start betting against it.
And if in such a situation with dozens or columns I can hold on and chase after dividing 2/3 by two 1/3 and at least not lose much, then in the case of a bet on 4 streets out of 6 - I catch a real wedge and start increasing the bets in pursuit and this is fatal.
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You just need to change the game's evaluation criteria or some status—say, status A is a perfect win, status B is a total loss. When that status starts to shift from A to B, we simply stop playing, regardless of the outcome.
And the goal of the game itself is not the money we can put in our pockets, but to win back as many sains as possible - to bet more money when the status moves from B to A.
If you come up with something like this, you will leave the game in different plus/minus situations and you will notice that the result fluctuates around a certain absolute value (here I mean if plus/minus were expressed, say, in ROY)
Plus, after you stop the game, you can always watch x spins and record the result, what would have happened if you continued the game for x spins.
From this you can draw some conclusion and make some decision that changes the exit point...
If you do this, you will soon see that you have managed to limit the amount of your losses, while your winnings remain unlimited...
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The criterion for leaving the game is not the number of pluses or minuses, it should be something else. For me, it's like I hit every one... If I miss every one or two, I'll play to the end and lose everything. The good thing is that the chance of that is about the same as the chance of ending up on the moon tomorrow.
But if I start missing, I'll immediately stop playing and change the game model. If I start missing again, I'll change it again, but that will mean that the casino or the dealer is making fun of me (though this hasn't happened in 20 years )
If you get attached to the number of chips, then that's your future - you'll stop when you win and play when you lose... in reality, that's what all system players do - especially the timid ones...
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People come to casinos with only one desire: to get rich quickly and easily. Almost all of them know they're playing a dishonest game (I'd call it unprofitable, but gamblers like to use the word in this context), where the chances of losing are greater than the chances of winning.
Trust in the casino - a player wants pure randomness in the rolls and deals, a guarantee of timely payouts, and confidentiality of the fact and results of the game from third parties.
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