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Sports betting - best strategies

  • DLK
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Sports betting - best strategies

1 week 1 day ago - 1 week 1 day ago
#1
Progression "Modified Oscar" /Farell/.


This is a modified strategy of Oscar Grind, many times before this I have scrolled through financial strategies on different sites and one day I assessed all the advantages and disadvantages of Oscar's strategy, there it was described without normal examples, sometimes even in general terms and the meaning of the strategy was lost and not caught, evidence of this are the reviews of players after reading these articles. But the idea that there is a strategy that can give an advantage over the distance led me to it. In fact, this strategy is a type of flat, with elements of soft catch-up, I had to add a few additional rules, our rate will fluctuate from 1 to 3%, that is, this strategy is something like a chaotic flat. I think that this is the best strategy for sports betting, which gives an additional advantage in betting.
I have described this strategy in 12 examples, where you can clearly see how it works. This strategy is not a panacea, it requires a pass rate of 37.5% or higher, and it must also be ensured over a distance, with a coefficient close to 2, or more. The higher the pass, the fewer bets in a cycle and, accordingly, more cycles you can make per month, and this means earning more, but as I wrote above, with a pass rate of 37.5% in a cycle, there will be a profit. With a static flat, in order to somehow earn over a distance with coefficients of about 2, you need a pass rate of 53%, which is oh so difficult to ensure over a long distance, and this strategy allows you to overcome this gap, giving us a very significant advantage for the player.

Rules:
1. The initial bet, the unit we set, in these examples it is 1000, the coefficient is 2.
2. Our task is to get a profit in the amount of the established unit, that is, in this case 1000, after we get the established unit we start a new cycle with the initial bet.
3. After a loss, we do not increase the bet; after a win, we increase it by the set unit; if after a win, the bet size allows us to recoup the entire loss and earn the set unit, then we do not increase the bet size. (example 3, example 7, example 9)
Also, if as a result of betting we come to a zero balance, then we make a bet in the amount of the established unit, that is, 1000. (example 1, example 5, example 11)
4. You can further reduce the risks and use this rule: If after winning the bet allows you to reset the balance, then do not increase the bet. (Example 10)
5. If the initial bet has already tripled, then we do not increase the bet any more and try to lower it gently. (example 12)
If the cycle is prolonged, achieve a minimum negative balance and accept losses, take a break from betting for a couple of days.
Example 1
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -2000 win
2000 0 win
1000 +1000 win pass 50%
Example 2
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -2000 win
2000 -4000 loss
2000 -2000 win
3000 +1000 win pass 42%
Example 3
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -2000 win
2000 -4000 loss
2000 -2000 win
3000 -5000 loss
3000 -2000 win
3000 +1000 win pass 44.5%
Example 5
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 0 win
1000 +1000 win pass 66%
Example 6
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -4000 loss
1000 -5000 loss
1000 -4000 win
2000 -2000 win
3000 +1000 win pass 37.5%
Example 7
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -4000 loss
1000 -5000 loss
1000 -4000 win
2000 -2000 win
3000 -5000 loss
3000 -2000 win
3000 +1000 win pass 40%
Example 8
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -1000 win
2000 +1000 win pass 50%
Example 9
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -4000 loss
1000 -5000 loss
1000 -4000 win
2000 -2000 win
3000 -5000 loss
3000 -2000 win
3000 +1000 win pass 40%
Example 10
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -2000 win
2000 -4000 loss
2000 -2000 win
2000 0 win
1000 +1000 win pass 50%
Example 11
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 0 win
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -1000 win
2000 +1000 win pass 50%
Example 12
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -3000 loss
1000 -4000 loss
1000 -5000 loss
1000 -4000 win
2000 -2000 win
3000 -5000 loss
3000 -2000 win
3000 -5000 loss
3000 -8000 loss
3000 -5000 win
3000 -2000 win
2000 0 win
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -2000 loss
1000 -1000 win
2000 +1000 win pass 47%
That is, there is still a catch-up functionality here and you will have to make only 1 bet? Of course not, these are further improvements, but do not forget that the quality of bets will be higher for 1 bet. You can easily make as many bets as you want at the beginning of each new cycle. I will give a few more examples for clarity.
We make 1 bet.
rate balance cycle result
1000 +1000 win
The cycle is complete because the profit has been made.
We make 2 bets.
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 -1000 loss
In this scenario, when we lose both bets, we automatically get to the 3rd level of the cycle.
We also make 2 bets, but one wins and the other loses.
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 +1000 win
The cycle balance is zero, we continue until we make a profit.
We make 3 bets.
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 +1000 win
1000 -1000 loss
It turns out that the first two bets cancel each other out and we end up at level 2 of the cycle with a balance of -1000.
We make 3 bets, but now the situation is like this.
rate balance cycle result
1000 -1000 loss
1000 +1000 win
1000 +1000 win
In this case, we get a profit of 1000 and the cycle closes, since the profit has been received.
What happens if I make 3 bets, 2 of them lose and one win, I get to the 2nd level of the cycle with a balance of -1000. Should I make 3 more bets? It's up to you. You can also make 3 bets of 1000, but keep in mind that if there is a minus from the bets again, our cycle will increase even more, by 1 level or more. And in fact, this will already be a pure flat, but also having grabbed minuses and having recovered a little, after winnings, you can try to increase the bet to 2000, as we did above in the first examples and thus quickly get into the plus, but do not forget that you can also get a bigger minus. Therefore, select the best events for the bet, or rather the most likely ones. You can read my articles on how to make a high-quality match analysis. You can also write to me on Skype, I will help with what I can, I can teach a lot for free. It is very difficult to convey everything in articles. By reading the rationale behind my bets, you can also learn a few things if you want to and understand the right decisions to make when betting on winning bets.
Do not forget that to make a profit using flat on such coefficients, you need to have a pass higher than 53% to earn. When using this strategy with an average pass of about 43%, we will have a profit. Only 10% difference? In the pass of bets even 2-3% decide, because remove 3% from flat, and at 50% you will already be in the minus, also adding 3% to flat and you will receive an order of magnitude more profit at the pass of 56%. We have as much as 10% in reserve. This is simply a huge advantage. And by the way, I calculated a little here, it is quite possible to use it with coefficients from 1.8, the profit will of course be less from cycles, but it will be there. And there, of course, act as you go, where 1.85, where 2.5 intercept, the main thing is that the event for bets is selected the most likely, according to many indicators.
If you bet on red in a casino and you're stubbornly unlucky, try betting on red!

Re: Sports betting - best strategies

1 week 1 day ago - 1 week 1 day ago
#2
This progression will come in handy, I sometimes get hung up on football bets.
There is a win - you can eat!
  • valery
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Re: Sports betting - best strategies

1 week 1 day ago - 1 week 1 day ago
#3
Guys! You are roulette players! In sports there is no adaptive, no pedal Vasya, throwing your bets! Pure RNG!!! Well, apply all your knowledge, roulette is no different from sports and stock exchange trading! AND HERE IT IS VERY EASY TO CREATE A GRAIL! The main conditions - for the grail it should not matter who, with whom and what plays! Your weapon is statistics and the advantage found with it! But in no case do not look for statistics on websites! OF WHAT YOU NEED, THERE IS NOTHING THERE! BOOKMAKERS KNOW WHERE THEIR WEAK SPOT IS, AND HAVE HIDDEN EVERYTHING!
  • alt2005
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Re: Sports betting - best strategies

6 days 20 hours ago - 6 days 20 hours ago
#4
valery wrote: Ladies and gentlemen! Help me with a small math problem! There is a coin that we toss and count the number of heads and tails, let the conditions be ideal and out of a hundred times everything was equal, 50% each! Now we take three coins, what percentage will all three heads fall out? I got 12.5%, but in reality the percentage is much higher! I am calculating something incorrectly, explain to me where the mistake is and how such things are generally calculated!

At each step, we will consider possible options for all 3 coins. 0 - tails, 1 - heads
000
001
010
011
100
101
110
111
Or, to put it simply, N = 2^3 = 8
The variant where all three times the eagle came up (111) is only one out of eight, i.e. exactly 0.125 = 12.5%. On 100 throws the average number of all 3 eagles coming up will be 12.5. The number turned out to be fractional, but it doesn't matter. On 200 throws it will be 25 - no longer fractional. So you have it right.
Another thing is that the real quantity may differ from the average, both upwards and downwards. But if you repeat the experiment thousands of times (N throws per experiment), this percentage will tend to 0.125, and the quantity to 0.125 * N
  • valery
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Re: Sports betting - best strategies

6 days 20 hours ago - 6 days 20 hours ago
#5
That's the whole point, because of the bookmakers' inflated odds, the result should be much lower, that is, at the level of 9-10% instead of 12.5 for ideal conditions, but in reality I see a completely opposite picture, my friends often have express bets with odds of 8-12, they should at best be successful 1 out of 10. I don't understand what's going on...
  • Shpilevoy
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Re: Sports betting - best strategies

6 days 20 hours ago - 6 days 20 hours ago
#6
I have two friends at sports who also launch express trains quite often,
but they can be collected from low-risk events with very low odds
and this is no longer 3 coins 50/50 ))))
and, for example, 6 coins with a 90% weighted eagle
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