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Intuition or strategy in casino games

  • Shpilevoy
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Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 3 weeks ago - 1 month 3 weeks ago
#1
Good instinct is actually a combination of experience, research and education. So strategy or instinct? Both. Instincts and strategy come from research. Learn the ropes and the fine art of gambling will become available in all its glory. /// ...
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Re: Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 3 weeks ago - 1 month 3 weeks ago
#2
here are these old reposts :sick: :sick: :sick: which are reprinted by thousands of sites you can not even look at /////////////////////////// 3.1. Martingale Anyone who has studied higher mathematics knows the theory of probability. According to players, Martingale is well suited for playing roulette. The emphasis is on using two colors: the red sector and the black (bet 1:1). The main rule of the game is to double the bet after each loss. Bets on one color are made until a win occurs. The size of the initial bet is usually $ 1. After each win, you need to change the color and act on the same principle. If zero (0) falls out, then you need to make a double bet on the color, which is opposite to the color with which the game began. Is there a limit to the maximum bet? As for the maximum bet size, it is desirable that it is not more than 1% of the total winnings. For example, if a player wins $450 in one day, it is recommended to stop playing for at least a day. It is also worth mentioning that there are very long series of one event (for example, 15 times in a row). Such a case most often means that the player loses, but fortunately this happens rarely. If the player wins, his bet should return to the initial one ($1). Regarding the withdrawal of money, here you need to maintain a certain balance and leave at least 10% of the winnings on the account. The main disadvantage of this method is the established limit of the maximum bet, that is, in practice, the casino allows doubling the bet no more than 6-7 times. An additional disadvantage of the system is the limited size of the player's own funds. Diagram of a statistical example of a game using the Martingale method Diagram of a statistical example of a game using the Martingale method The diagram shows a clear example of how the risk of losing constantly hangs over the player. A smooth rise in balance is accompanied by sharp collapses in case of failure. Analysis of this roulette system shows that it cannot be considered complete, especially for beginners. Unfortunately, statistics prove that any color can fall out more than 7 times in a row. 6 Martingale Strategy Variants » 3.2. Columns and Dozens Here, as in the previous method, the principle of making bets on fields that have equal chances works. However, if the ball falls on any of the numbers that is on this field, the winnings increase by 2 times from the original bet. This is due to the fact that bets on columns and dozens are paid 1:2, while bets on red and black fields are paid 1:1. In case of loss, you need to increase bets according to the Martingale system. The probability of winning according to this scheme is about 66.6%. In the pictures you can see how bets are made on two dozens (No. 1 and No. 2). Columns and Dozens strategy » 3.3. The Cuban system In this case, in-depth mathematical knowledge is not needed. The calculation is based on the uneven distribution of sectors (red, black). If you pay attention to the playing field, you can see that the center has a greater number of black windows, while the third line has more red ones. By betting on the middle row, in particular, on the red window, the player minimizes the probability of his loss and accordingly increases the chances of winning. strategy "Cuban" » 3.4. System "5 out of 6" The probability of winning by this method is 85%. The roulette playing fields are divided into 6 parts, each of which has 6 numbers. The strategy consists of making bets on 5 groups of 6. In the event that the ball falls on an empty sector, you need to double the bet and start the roulette again. strategy 5 out of 6 » 3.5. System "Biarritz" This does not require mental stress at all. The point of this method is to use only one number to make bets. In this case, the player will have 36 attempts, but if the number does not come up, then it is necessary to double the amount and continue playing according to the same principle. If the number coincides, then it is advisable to bet on it again to increase your winnings. The earlier the specified number comes up, the greater the winnings, for example, 35:1. Biarritz strategy » 3.6. Labouchere system This strategy is far from any reasonable mathematical descriptions, but nevertheless, players use it. The point is to randomly come up with 4 numbers, and then place bets on equal positions, summing up the first and last digits of the sequence. If the bet wins, then we cross out the numbers, if it loses, then we add the number to the end of the sequence. The practical benefit is small, but purely for enjoying the game - the system is interesting. Labouchere strategy » 3.7. Fibonacci system The whole essence of the strategy is based on bets. Bets are made in the form of numbers of the Fibonacci sequence. If we win, we cross out the last two numbers and continue betting until we reach the beginning of the sequence. Fibonacci strategy » 3.8. Big Square System The strategy is based on the anti-theory of probability, namely, that the numbers that have appeared more than 2 times in the last 36 throws will appear again. Bets are placed on these numbers. Big Square strategy » 3.9. Lucky Seven System The main goal of the game is to win 7 times in a row. Moreover, each subsequent bet is 50% more than the previous one. For example, if you bet $6 and win, the next bet will be $9. Read more about this system in the article: Lucky Seven strategy » 3.10. Thomas Donald System A very interesting strategy, which, in my opinion, also works. To be brief, the main idea is to always bet on the same color. If we win, we decrease the bet by $1, if we lose, we increase the bet by $1. The idea is that on average, the number of red cells should fall out approximately the same in 36 throws. By adjusting our bets, we can come out on top. Thomas Donald's strategy » 3.11. Titanic System In the Titanic system, bets are made only on dozens. A specially developed system for increasing bets gives good results and can be considered a completely workable strategy. Titanic strategy » 3.12. Garcia System The Garcia system is a very simple strategy. We wait for a certain event to occur, and then we make bets based on our bankroll for 6 bets. Each subsequent bet should be 20% more than the initial one. They say that Garcia was able to make a fortune playing according to this scheme. Garcia strategy »
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  • Shpilevoy
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Re: Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 3 weeks ago - 1 month 3 weeks ago
#3
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Re: Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 3 weeks ago - 1 month 3 weeks ago
#4
Eh, Shpilya!!! I have a feeling we'll have some "SISI" together... the keyboard is jumping...
  • Alatissa
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Re: Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 3 weeks ago - 1 month 3 weeks ago
#5
I have also heard that players call strategies "boobs" The first time I accidentally stopped reading on a forum at the phrase: "... Angel, from what basement did you pull this tit?" I then thought: what-what did he pull out? (and from the basement, too) ..... And as for the stages, I really liked how the progress of the game levels was highlighted click [/ b]
Not even Martingale, but strategies for external bets (colors, even, etc.) are the most pathetic strategies. In general, the more a player grows in his game level, the closer he comes to understanding that bets oriented towards the roulette table are very inferior to bets on the wheel (sectors, neighboring ones). The scheme is as follows (progress in the player's game level and what bets he plays): 1. Initial level. External bets: colors, even/odd, 1-18/19-36 2. Initial level 2. External bets: dozens, columns. 3. Basic level 3. Sixlines, corners, streets 4. Basic level 4. Bets on "favorite" numbers (bet on zero, etc.) 5. Basic level 5. Bets on numbers that did not come up 6. Basic -> intermediate level. Bets on random sectors (zero spiel, orphelines, etc.) 7. Intermediate level. Bets on "ready" sectors that did not come up (cylinder, voisins du zero) 8. Intermediate level 2. Bets on sectors that did not come up 9. Intermediate level 3. Law of 2/3. Bets on numbers according to the law of 2/3 10. High level. Bets on adjacent 11. High level 2. Bets on adjacent sectors 12. High level 3. Law of roulette frequency oscillations. Bets on numbers taking into account this law 13. High level 4. Bets on sectors according to the law of frequency oscillations 14. High -> professional level. Search for bets with a mathematical advantage over the distance 15. Professional level. Bets on the distance according to the 2/3 law and the law of frequency oscillations. Playing against the casino using casino methods. The result of the next hour of play is not important. The distance brings profit. No risk of losing the bank. The number of wins is several times greater than the number of losses - the main foundation of the concept.
www.100pravda.com/forum/roulette-game/32...egij-igry-v-rul#1716
Everything is fine as it is, and it will get even better.
  • Shpilevoy
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Re: Intuition or strategy in casino games

1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago
#6
www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=572&v=KBMVD66zww4

I don't know the speaker's name, but he definitely doesn't play roulette ))))
//////////////

"wait for red 9 times in a row and catch black on the 10th try" = you don't need to catch black on the 10th try, but start your martin chain on the 10th try
With this style of play the player will fall asleep faster, because entry points will be very rare
but the vacuum of 10 reds missed in idle mode makes catching black more reasonable

the fact that each spin the probability of red/black is constant (let's forget about adaptive for now)
the conditional probability of a 20-spin row of red is still a great rarity,
but with a 9-move indent and a couple of bets per day, you will hit 20 red a couple of times a year 100%

//////////////
when "it doesn't matter what came up before" + misunderstanding of counter-scheme generations + misunderstanding that the casino controls the game +
stupid static every move (like Vazon)
= indeed, mathematical expectation wins ))))


////////////////////

let's imagine that two people are playing at the table
Petya places 50 spins at $100 and loses his entire deposit of $5,000 (for simplicity, let's imagine that none of his bets played at all)
At this time Vasya simply watches and imagines that it was he who lost...

the mathematical expectation says that Petya should have lost -$135
How did it happen that so much more was lost?

does such a calculation of the mathematical expectation give Vasya a basis that he will now make +4865??? after all, mathematics is on his side)))
or is it only Petya who can expect to get back 4865 if he runs to the ATM now? ..... and if he comes tomorrow, will +MO already be lost or will it be waiting for him? and if Petya moves to another table, will everything be calculated anew? etc. etc.

no of course not... mathematical expectation has nothing to do with short gaming sessions
after all, there are no rams that will close all the roulette numbers for $1 and press auto-repeat 1000 spins.....

//////////////
there are many questions that baffle "mathematicians", roulette and the theory of truth live in different dimensions ))))

any mathematician will tell you that the sequence 1-2-3-4-5-6-7 has the same probability as any other 33-11-4-4-13-26
and it makes no difference what and when to bet on....
= that's why mathematicians lose and hide -MO
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